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Wednesday, March 25, 2009

Why should I learn Forex currency trading?

I think you are already aware that Forex trading is a good way to make money at home. More over, I bet you knew someone, or would have heard of someone, who's already making tons of good money in FX trading.

But what you wouldn't know is that 7 out of 10 traders keep losing money in Forex market! That's right, 70% of individual FX traders keep losing their hard-earned money in the market; while the rest of the 30% work freely at home and earn millions annually)

Wonder what differs between the losing 70% and the winning 30%?

Forex trading skills and the trading system! If you want to work less than 20 hours a day at home, if you want to make millions by trading freely at home, if you want to have financial freedom by trading Forex; you better LEARN Forex trading before you start trading Forex. Forex market is definitely not a game for newbie and you need to brush up your skills before getting your hands wet.

Forex(FX) Trading Strategy

A forex trading strategy can provide profit for a skilled speculator. A FX trading strategy is, simply put, a method for using foreign exchange rates of currency from various countries to buy one country’s currency when it is undervalued, and exchange it for another country’s currency with it is of normal or higher value, with the difference being profit.

A common forex trading strategy could involve US dollars and the Euro, the official currency of most European countries. To use a simple example of a forex trading strategy, a speculator would buy Euros when they were undervalued; let’s say two Euros equaled one US dollar. This would be unusual because normally the two currencies are almost equal.

By spending one hundred US dollars to buy two hundred Euros a speculator would be able to buy more goods in Germany, France or other European countries. When the market changed and became more even, the speculator would have twice as many goods as he normally would have, and would be able to exchange those goods for US dollars once again.

The difference would be profit. This is a very simple explanation of a forex trading strategy, but gives the basics to the new speculator.Of course, when coming up with a forex trading strategy the trader should only use money that he or she can afford to loose. This is speculation, as opposed to investment. The chances for profit are real, and could come quick but if the market turns the opposite way than expected the trader could actually loose money.

A forex trading strategy can reap large profits, but if anyone tells you that all trades will result in profit, they haven’t studied the market as well as they should have and they are not correct. Still having a sound forex trading strategy for a competent businessman can be a profitable venture. It requires study of the markets, which takes time and is usually best accomplished by reading financial newsletters and using tools available on the Internet.

Getting the advice of a professional forex trading strategy specialist can also be a sound choice. Professionals have the time, education and skills and can generally help a trader come up with a forex trading strategy that will result in profit more often than one could do without their help.The most sound forex trading strategy options are generally used by large multinational corporations who are often able to make steady profits.

Watching what large corporations do who are involved in forex trading, looking for patterns they may have set, can help a trader to get the benefit of the very expensive expertise used by these large companies. Making watching of the large traders a part of a person’s education is definitely a good place to start a forex trading education. Identifying the state of the market, determining the time frame you are working in, and the currencies that have fluctuation and getting the advice of professionals through self study can be the wisest forex trading strategy option available.

Managing a Margin Forex Account

Although the example given is much simpler than what's happening in real market situation.

But it cleary illustrates that trading in can easily magnify trade's ROI in a dramatic way. Although trading on margin sounds extremely easy to gain profits, but it is important that traders understand well the risks they are undertaking.

Traders should be very aware of the margin call and should always avoid them at all cost. Note that in the event that money in your account falls below predetermined threshold (Margin Call), the positions in the account could be partially or totally liquidated, even it's in a highly volatile, fast moving market. Also, traders should always monitor own margin balance on a regular basis and utilize stop-loss orders on every open position to limit downside risk.

Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Rupee to Post Worst Weekly Drop This Year

The Indian rupee declined against the U.S. dollar today and is currently ready to show the biggest weekly drop since the beginning of the year as the slump of the U.S. stock markets was followed by the decline in the Asian markets.

The Bombay Stock Exchange benchmark index (SENSEX) is currently falling by more than 2.5 percent. Such a strong decline in the stocks prompt foreign investment funds to sell their Indian equities and to convert from the rupee the Indian dollar. The rupee is currently approaching its 11-week lowest level against the dollar.

The analysts see a little chance that the rupee will be growing again soon — even the country’s officials are saying that the recession will have a deeper influence on the Indian economy than it was expected earlier. The capital outflows are likely to continue to be the major disadvantage of the INR, which is likely to get many speculative positions traded against it.

USD/INR from 49.73 to 49.87 as of 9:13 GMT today — its highest level since early December. The weekly gain of this currency pair is 1.9 percent.

Aussie Rises to New Monthly Maximums

The Australian dollar reached the new monthly maximum the Japanese yen as the stock markets signaled growth for a third day on improved earnings of the banks.

The currency experienced a minor decline during the day as the markets reacted on the RBA minutes stating the necessity of the further interest rate cuts. But then the growth followed. The Aussie also fell against the New Zealand dollar as the gain in commodities market made the NZD look more promising than than its Australian counterpart.

The analysts talk mainly about the good news from the U.S. banking sector as the primary reason for the global stock and high-yielding optimism. Some are afraid of the further rate cuts and say that the current optimism can’t last for too long and the Australian dollar has now some considerable space to fall. When the optimism is over, the crude oil will start to pare its gains and the Aussie will have to step back against other currencies.

AUD/USD is currently trading near its open level at 0.6583 as of 13:52 GMT after almost reaching new monthly high at 0.6615. AUD/JPY rose from 64.74 to 65.03 after peaking at 65.39 — the highest level since January 8. AUD/NZD fell for sixth day in a row — from 1.2442 to .12424. NZD/USD rose from 0.5288 to 0.5300, while NZD/JPY went up from 51.96 to 52.59 today.

Yen Drops on Toxic Assets Disposal

The Japanese yen declined against the other major currencies today as the Forex traders speculated that the U.S. plan to buy out the toxic assets is going to hurt the «safe haven» currencies, spurring the risk-hungry carry trade.

During the early Asian trading session the U.S. dollar was also bearish against the euro and the pound as the investors dumped it in favor of the more riskier assets. As of now the dollar is rising against the euro as the confidence in the U.S. economy is rising after the American administration unveiled the long-awaited plan to remove the bad debt from the private financial system.

The yen, on the other hand, is very vulnerable to any news that eliminate the risk-aversion. The Japanese economy has already suffered more than U.S. from the ongoing crisis and the only advantage the yen can offer is a safety, which is quite vague and isn’t very sought by the traders when there is chance for the stable carry trade opportunity.

Analysts believe that the U.S. government’s action will increase the money flow into the emerging markets and reduce the global volatility. If the traders won’t be skeptical about these changes, this short relief may become a real long-lasting rally. That’s not a good sign for the Japanese yen and probably has some dangerous risk for the dollar.

USD/JPY went up for the third day today — from 96.94 to 98.25 as of 7:56 GMT. EUR/JPY rose from 132.05 to 133.65 after reaching as high as 134.49 — the maximum since October 21st 2008. GBP/JPY gained from 141.08 to 143.96 today.

Friday, March 20, 2009

Euro Declines in Correction Following Rally

The euro fell against the dollar and the yen today following the yesterday’s unprecedented rally as the market participant speculate that ECB will have to follow Fed’s money-printing trend.

The European currency rallied yesterday against the U.S. dollar after the Federal Reserve pledged to buy $300 billion in the U. S. Treasury securities, technically stating that it will print those money. The euro advanced by more than 3.4 percent against the greenback yesterday. Today it’s posting a technical correction supported by the expectations that the next statement by the European Central Bank won’t differ much from the Fed’s one.

The currency rose against the pound, which is considered to be a rather weak player on the currency market (it failed to rally at similarly fast pace against the dollar yesterday). The yen gained for the first time in 6 days against the euro today. Analysts believe that there is a great chance for the ECB to follow Fed’s steps and we may see a backward rally on EUR/USD soon — the next monetary policy meeting for Eurozone is scheduled for April 2.

EUR/USD fell from 1.3490 to 1.3476 as of 7:54 GMT today after rallying from 1.3035 to 1.3490 yesterday. EUR/JPY declined from 129.74 to 128.61 and EUR/GBP rose from 0.9442 to 0.9457 today.